68 21 7 Rank in State, Class, District |
506 -23 Strength Momentum |
802 35.4(67) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09/03/15 | Desert Academy !! | 0.013 | 564 | W 5- 1 | Better (+4) | 720 | 47% | |
09/08/15 | Kirtland Central ? | 0.013 | 893 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-2) | 380 | 10% | |
09/11/15 | at Rehoboth Christian | 0.048 | 802 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 520 | 12% | |
09/12/15 | at ATC | 0.062 | 393 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 465 | 61% | |
09/12/15 | at Robertson | 0.060 | 717 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 527 | 20% | |
09/15/15 | Bloomfield ?? | 0.034 | 761 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-4) | 313 | 22% | |
09/17/15 | at Miyamura | 0.075 | 730 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-2) | 382 | 19% | |
09/22/15 | at Bosque | 0.028 | 1089 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 294 | 1% | |
09/24/15 | at Grants | 0.233 | 797 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 567 | 13% | |
09/28/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.048 | 1348 | L 0-10 | Expected (-2) | 423 | 0% | |
10/01/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.060 | 1186 | L 0-10 | Expected (-3) | 342 | 0% | |
10/05/15 | Bosque | 0.154 | 1089 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-2) | 425 | 2% | |
10/08/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.414 | 802 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 437 | 18% | |
10/15/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.680 | 761 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 448 | 16% | |
10/20/15 | at Kirtland Central | 0.858 | 893 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 565 | 6% | |
10/22/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.187 | 1186 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-2) | 420 | 1% | |
10/23/15 | Hope Christian | 0.125 | 1348 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-1) | 447 | 0% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Navajo Prep actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 802, while
Navajo Prep's "weighted playing strength" is 482
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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